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Trump threatened to impose tariffs on multiple countries next week, and the US non-farm payroll in January was mixed. BTC surged to 100,000 and then plummeted sharply in a 'long and short double kill'.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest non-farm payrolls data yesterday (7), which is mixed. Coupled with Trump's threat to impose reciprocal tariffs on many countries next week, investors are worried, and the BTC price is a roller coaster. (Synopsis: US President Donald Trump asks Fed to cut interest rates immediately: I know Intrerest Rate better than Powell!) U.S. Treasury Intrerest Rate Declines) (Background Supplement: The U.S. Dollar Index Rises Above 110, U.S. Bond Intrerest Rate Continues to Climb" Barclays Bank: The Federal Reserve may only cut interest rates once in June this year) The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest non-farm payrolls data yesterday (7) night, and the report showed that the number of new non-farm payrolls in the United States in January was 143,000, lower than the market's previous expectation of 169,000, which alone shows that the labor market has cooled slightly. However, it is worth noting that the results of the unemployment rate survey for the month showed an unexpected decline to 4%, lower than market expectations and the previous value of 4.1%; At the same time, the Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised up the number of new nonfarm payrolls in November last year from 212,000 to 261,000; Revise the December nonfarm payrolls upwards from 256,000 to 51,000 to 307,000 – a combination of these data shows that the US labor market remains resilient and shows no obvious signs of cooling. Hopeless interest rate cut in the first half of the year? For those looking forward to a rate cut, the state of the labor market revealed by the non-farm payrolls data gives the Fed more time to watch. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the market expects the probability that the Fed will remain unchanged in March, from 84% a week ago to 91.5% currently, and the probability of a 1-yard rate cut is only 8.5%. Fed officials disagree on "whether to cut interest rates" After the data was released, Fed official Kashkari said in a speech that if inflation data is good and the labor market remains strong, it will support the view of further rate cuts: If we see good inflation data and the labor market remains strong, then this will prompt me to support further rate cuts. If inflation cools, I don't see why the Intrerest Rate should be left unchanged. However, his statement is completely different from the view of Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan at the recent BIS meeting in Mexico City, Logan previously said that in the current strong demand and solid labor market, the inflation rate is gradually approaching the Fed's target, indicating that the Fed's benchmark policy Intrerest Rate may be close to neutral. She stressed that if this trend continues, there is limited room for further rate cuts in the short term: What if inflation approaches 2% in the coming months? While this is good news, in my view it may not be enough for the FOMC to cut rates anytime soon. It can be seen that the opinions within the Fed officials have not yet reached a consensus. Read more: Fed stops cutting interest rates? Fed officials shout "strong employment, nearly 2% inflation" has reached neutral Intrerest Rate Trump threatens to impose tariffs on more countries next week It should also be noted that US President Trump said at a joint press conference after his meeting with visiting Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba last night that next week will announce the imposition of reciprocal tariffs on multiple countries, implying that it will be a wide-ranging action. He expressed a preference for reciprocal taxes, meaning that countries that impose high tariffs on U.S. imports will impose reciprocal tariffs on their exports. I think that's the only fair thing to do. So that no one gets hurt. They charge us. We charge them ... I seem to prefer this approach rather than flat fees or tariffs. As for Japan, Trump said that he hopes to reduce the US trade deficit with Japan, but believes that it can be solved without punitive action, emphasizing that Japan-US relations are very good (according to data from January ~ October last year, the US trade deficit with Japan reached $57.1 billion), while he said that he would strengthen cooperation with Shigeru Ishiba to counter China's economic aggression. However, there are doubts about whether Trump will regret it, and Shigeru Ishiba refused to respond at the press conference whether Japan will retaliate if the United States does impose tariffs? BTC rides roller coaster After the release of the non-farm payrolls data, BTC also reacted synchronously, BTC opened a wave of rally around 21:30 last night, the highest rushed to $100,149; However, as Trump may heat up the impact of the trade war, BTC quickly price drops, until the lowest reached $95,601 around five o'clock this morning. There was a slight reply before the deadline, tentatively trading at $96,463, down 1.03% in the past 24 hours. Extended reading: Fed sounding board: Trump tariffs become a source of inflationary pressure, Fed Powell will suspend interest rate cuts Related reports "Fed interest rate cut expectations are blocked with collapse of BTC, Taiwan's first personal currency merchant was arrested for trading USDT, AI agents are still hot Trump is considering declaring a "US economic emergency" to start a new tariff policy, small non-farm payrolls are lower than expected to strengthen confidence in interest rate cuts Fed Governor: Fed will be more cautious to cut interest rates, U.S. stock valuations are high and easy to pull back sharply Trump threatened to impose tariffs on many countries next week, the United States non-farm payrolls in January were mixed, BTC rushed to 100,000 and fell sharply "long and short double kill" This article was first published in the moving area BlockTempo "dynamic trend - the most influential Block chain news media".