The probability of "Trump attempting to fire Powell before the end of August" on Polymarket is only 19%.

On July 18, according to relevant page information, the probability of "Trump attempting to fire Powell before the end of August" on Polymarket is only 19%. On the other hand, the probability of "Powell stepping down as the Fed chairman this year" is only 21%. Previously, Trump denied drafting a letter to fire Fed chairman Powell.

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