Can XRP Reach $10? Let's Seriously Consider the Numbers

With the SEC officially withdrawing its appeal against Ripple, speculation around XRP has accelerated. For the first time in many years, this token is experiencing real regulatory clarity – and that changes everything. XRP is no longer burdened by legal ambiguity. Combined with strong performance, increasing development activity, and the warm relationship between Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse and U.S. President Donald Trump, it is no surprise that investor sentiment is optimistic. But how high can XRP really go? Is the $10 price level a prospect or a possibility in the future? Resilience makes the difference Throughout most of 2024, XRP traded within a narrow range of $0.40 to $0.60. Then came the victory in Trump's election - and the gate opened. The value of the token quadrupled, driven by hopes for regulatory easing, cryptocurrency-friendly tax policies, and momentum from institutions.

While many other coins – including Ethereum and Solana – have given up most of their gains after the elections, XRP remains strong. Despite ongoing trade tensions and macroeconomic pressures, it still holds above $2, only briefly dipping during flash crash events. How is the situation unfolding? XRP is currently trading around $2.40, down about 10% over the past month. While it is significantly lower than the peak in early January near $3.30, it remains one of the strongest performing assets. With a market capitalization of approximately $140 billion, XRP is near its historical high - much higher than the peak recorded during the bull runs of 2018 and 2021. Get back 3 dollars – Just a matter of time? To return to the level of 3 dollars will require a modest jump of 25%. With the current fundamentals and the broader cryptocurrency context, that's not too far-fetched. The only real barrier is market sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index has struggled to surpass the 50 level for more than a month, reflecting the cautious and risk-averse mentality of investors. If macro fears ease - especially around the trade war - XRP could be one of the first large-cap tokens to rebound. Can XRP reach a new all-time high? To regain the all-time high of $3.84, set in January 2018, XRP would need to increase by about 60% from its current level. This would push the market capitalization above $200 billion - a figure that this token has never reached before, but not too far from its recent level in January. With the current legal clarity, the landscape is ready for new developments. The approval of ETFs, institutional investment, and further government support could all provide the necessary momentum. According to betting platforms like Polymarket, there is currently a 40% chance that XRP will reach a new all-time high before the year ends – and a 30% chance that it will happen in June. Can XRP surpass Ethereum? Today, XRP accounts for more than half of Ethereum's market capitalization and the XRP/ETH ratio has reached its highest level in five years. While XRP has increased by 272% compared to the same period last year, Ethereum has decreased by 43%, currently trading below $2,000.

If Ethereum's market capitalization remains stagnant, XRP will need to reach $4.08 to surpass it - just over 6% higher than its all-time high. If that happens, just the hype could drive XRP even further. However, any price increase in the broader market could drive Ethereum, making the reversal target harder to achieve unless XRP significantly outperforms ETH in both news flow and adoption level. Can XRP reach 10 dollars? One XRP priced at 10 dollars would bring its market capitalization to about 582 billion dollars – more than 4 times its current value and double the current market capitalization of Ethereum. That is a big leap. Without key catalysts such as widespread adoption by institutions, integration into the global payment system, or a US-approved XRP ETF, such a goal is unrealistic in the short or medium term. But that is not entirely impossible. XRP has legal transparency, political relationships, and cheap transactions. And the market capitalization of 582 billion dollars is still only one-third of the current value of Bitcoin. In absolute terms, the road to $10 is real – but it is a long road that may require some favorable domino effects for XRP. What is the most realistic scenario? Currently, the market is still weighed down by uncertainty – particularly surrounding global trade tensions and geopolitical instability. Until that is resolved, we should not expect significant moves. However, the legal clarity opens many new doors. If the ETF is approved and Trump continues to support Ripple's efforts, XRP could enter a new era of reliability and mainstream acceptance. The road to 10 dollars is still long, but the road to 3 dollars – or even a new all-time high – seems to be within reach.