BTC/USDT Technical Analysis (Khung Time: 1H, 4H, 1D, 1W)

1. Identify the main trends of the market Frame 1H:

• Price position relative to EMA:
• The current price ($86.410) is above EMA(7) ($86.312), but below EMA(25) ($86.480) and EMA(99) ($87.537).
• Short-term trend: slight accumulation in a narrow range.
• MACD: Slightly positive (109.85), indicating a weak bullish signal.
• RSI: Neutral (~50), no signs of overbought or oversold.
• OBV & MFI: OBV is moving sideways, MFI is neutral, indicating that cash flow has not yet spiked.
• Open Interest (OI): Slightly increased, indicating that new cash flows are participating but not strong. 4H Frame:
• Price position relative to EMA:
• Prices are under EMA(7) ($86.510), EMA(25) ($87.482), and EMA(99) ($89.539).
• Medium-term trend: slightly bearish.
• MACD: Negative (-268.54), the bearish momentum is weakening.
• RSI: Neutral (~40), no oversold signal.
• OBV & MFI: OBV is down slightly, MFI shows that cash flow is gradually withdrawing.
• Open Interest (OI): Slightly reduced, large cash flows are out of the market. 1D Frame:
• Price position relative to EMA:
• Prices are under EMA(7) ($87.574), EMA(25) ($90.877), and EMA(99) ($92.611).
• Long-term trend: sharply bearish.
• MACD: Negative (-8.89), the bearish momentum is slowing down.
• RSI: Near the oversold area (~35), likely to bounce up if new cash flows appear.
• OBV & MFI: OBV fell sharply, MFI showed weak cash flow.
• Open Interest (OI): Decreases, confirming large cash flows that have been withdrawn from the market. 1W Frame:
• Price position relative to EMA:
• The price is below EMA(7) ($93.798), but above EMA(25) ($87.858).
• Long-term trend: sharply down, but likely to bounce up if the EMA(25) support zone is maintained.
• MACD: Negative (-1,921.59), bearish momentum still dominates.
• RSI: Neutral (~45), no clear signal yet.
• OBV & MFI: OBV is sideways, MFI is low, cash flow is weak.
• Open Interest (OI): Decrease, confirming that the large cash flow has not returned.

2. Identify key support & resistance zones Support:
3. $86,312 (EMA(7) on the 1H) frame.
4. $85,218 (đáy 24h).
5. $70,596 (đáy strong support on the 1W) frame. Resistance:
6. $86,480 (EMA(25) on the 1H) frame.
7. $87,574 (EMA(7) on the 1D) frame.
8. $93,798 (EMA(7) on the 1W) frame. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis:

• Important Fibo levels:
• 0.618: $87,500 (kháng mạnh).
• 0.5: $86,410 (giá is currently reacting at đây).
• 0.382: $85,200 (hỗ nearly nhất). Liquidity Grab:
• There are signs of scanning the stop loss at $85,218, but the buying force is not strong enough to push the price up.

3. Candlestick Pattern Analysis and Price Action Frame 1H:

• The appearance of a Pin Bar candle at the $86,312 support zone, indicating slight buying pressure.
• No obvious signs of fakeout. 4H Frame:
• An Inside Bar pattern appears, indicating that the market is accumulating.
• Volume decreases, confirming the lack of momentum. 1D Frame:
• The appearance of a Doji candle at the support level of $85,218, indicates the market's hesitation.
• Low volume, no strong signal.

4. Technical Indicator Analysis -MACD:

• Frame 1H: Positive crossover, signal slightly increased.
• 4H frame: Negative, weak downward momentum.
• Frame 1D: Negative, the signal slows down. -RSI:
• Frame 1H: Neutral (~50).
• Frame 4H and 1D: Near the oversold area (~40-35).
• Bollinger Bands:
• 1H frame: The price is touching the lower boundary, likely to bounce slightly up.
• 4H frame: The price moves in the lower boundary, with no signs of a breakout.

5. Smart Cash Flow Analysis (SMC)

• Order Block (OB):
• Strong Supply Zone: $87,500 - $88,000.
• Strong demand zone: $85,000 - $85,500.
• Break of Structure (BOS):
• There are signs of BOS falling on the 4H frame, confirming the medium-term downtrend.
• Liquidity Grab:
• The price has swept liquidity at $85,218 but there is no strong buying force yet.

6. Determine the market stage (Wyckoff Method)

• Current stage: Markdown (giảm giá).
• The price is breaking important supports with low volume.
• There are no obvious signs of accumulation.

7. Propose a trading strategy ✅ If BTC is in an uptrend:

• Entry Point: $86,312 (EMA(7) on the 1H) frame.
• Stop Loss: $85,218 (dưới support near nhất).
• Take Profit: $87,574 (EMA(7) on the 1D) frame or $88,000 (vùng mạnh) supply. ✅ If BTC is in a downtrend:
• (Short) entry points: $86,480 - $87,574 (EMA(25) on the 1H and EMA(7) on the 1D).
• Stop Loss: $88,000 (trên mạnh) supply zone.
• Take Profit: $85,218 (đáy 24h) or $83,500 (hỗ theo) support. ✅ If BTC is sideways:
• Margin trading: Buy at $85,218 (hỗ trợ), sell at $87,574 (kháng cự).
• If breakout: Confirm with Volume and Delta Volume before entering the order. ✅ If there is a fakeout:
• Wait for the price to return to the $85.218 area and confirm with the Pin Bar + Volume candlesticks before entering the trade.

Note:

• Strict risk management, no use of high leverage.
• Keep a close eye on technical indicators such as MACD, RSI, and Volume to confirm signals.