Is there a possibility that the bull market in Bitcoin and Altcoins is over? Analysis Company Addresses Concerns, Shares Technical Details!

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Cryptocurrency analysis firm Alphractal shed light on the ongoing market cycle by examining altcoin correlations and Bitcoin's current market position.

According to Alphractal's latest statement, altcoins have a stronger correlation with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Historically, the negative correlation between BTC and altcoins has often acted as a warning sign, indicating potential risk in the market or a reversal of trend. This dynamic serves as a sensitivity indicator for both traders and investors.

The company also noted that, although altcoins based on the Ethereum network tend to have a more organic relationship with ETH, Ethereum's market behavior is less consistent compared to other altcoins.

The historical analysis of the eight-week (two-month) correlation of BTC-ETH reveals an interesting trend. When the correlation between the two assets is low, BTC tends to disrupt ETH's momentum. In many cases, significant changes occur in Bitcoin's trend following periods where ETH cannot follow BTC's movements.

Alphractal also noted that 90.8% of Bitcoin addresses are still profitable by taking into account their current status. Meanwhile, 4.5% of the addresses are at a loss, with the remaining percentage staying neutral. The company mentioned that in previous bull cycles, the percentage of addresses in loss sometimes exceeded 20%, but the broader market trend remained bullish.

In the current cycle, the loss percentages only exceeded 20% a few times, especially in August and September 2024. In comparison, in previous bull cycles such as 2017 and 2021, this metric was broken many times without indicating the end of the market uptrend.

Based on this data, Alphractal argues that even if Bitcoin undergoes further correction and a higher percentage of addresses enter a loss position, it does not necessarily indicate the end of the bull cycle. Historically, short-term downward trends within a broader bull cycle have been a natural occurrence.

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