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BTC Price Analysis: Volatility like a Hyperloop Train as Main Support Faces Ultimate Challenge
Bitcoin has fluctuated between $95,850 and $96,234 in the past sixty minutes, boasting a market capitalization of $1.917 trillion, a global trading volume of $47.52 billion, and a daily price range extending from $95,850 to $99,131. Currently, the price is still 11% lower than the all-time high. Bitcoin The hourly chart shows a stable price with a modest decline as bitcoin hovers near important resistance levels. The relative strength index (RSI) is oscillating at 43, reflecting a balanced state, while the converging divergences of the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) at -348 indicate a prolonged downtrend. The (CCI) commodity channel index is at -138 flashing a buy signal, implying temporary low valuation and a -5.318 momentum oscillation biasing towards optimism. However, market concerns still prevail, with reluctant buyers participating in current pricing.
On the four-hour chart, the short-term pessimism is becoming credible as the exponential and simple moving averages of (EMA/SMA) on 10, 20, and 30 periods all give sell signals. The EMA (50) at 98.677 and SMA (50) at 98.717 continue to reinforce resistance levels near $98,500-$99,000. The current support level clings to the range of $95,500-$96,000, although a breakdown here could push the decline further to $94,000. The negative reading of the awesome oscillator reflects weak directional momentum.
BTC's daily analysis reveals a prolonged retreat after its recent price peak near $109,356, with a strong resistance zone between $109,000-$110,000 and a key support level near $89,164. Increasing selling activity signals a continuous downward pressure unless bitcoin surpasses the iconic $100,000 threshold. The 100-period EMA and SMA, at $93,103 and $94,767 respectively, serve as reasonable safety nets, while the 200-period counterparts at $83,514 and $78,508 appear as distant support levels if the price decline intensifies.
At this crucial intersection, the trajectory of BTC is balanced on a knife's edge. Speculators predict a recovery from $95,000 to $96,000, but the threat of a price drop still looms if support collapses. A decisive push above $98,500 to $100,000 could boost price prospects, while a decline below $94,000 could lead to a drop to $91,500 to $92,000. The story of supply, demand, and speculative enthusiasm continues unabated.
Bull's analysis: Despite the recent decline, bitcoin has maintained a crucial support level around $95,000-$96,000 and indicators such as the commodity channel index and the momentum oscillator suggest the potential for price increase if buyers enter the market. Breaking through the $98,500-$100,000 level could trigger a new uptrend, reclaiming lost territory and setting the stage for a price increase to $105,000-$109,000 in the coming weeks. Bear's analysis: Bitcoin is still under pressure, with multiple moving averages and converging divergences reinforcing the prospect of a price decline. Failure to hold the $95,000-96,000 range could lead to a drop to $94,000 and a deeper decline below $91,500-92,000 would confirm the risk of prolonged declines, potentially targeting $89,000 or lower in the near future.