The blood wash before the Halving, countless people returned to zero in their sleep. Will it fall long long?

312 in 2020, the bloody scene has not been forgotten.
Of the 413 in 2024, nearly 300,000 people will go to zero in their sleep.
In the early morning of April 13, the Virtual Money market was bleeding again. Among them, the price of Bitcoin once plummeted by more than $2,000, falling from $67,100 to below $65,000. Altcoins are even more bloodbathed.
This month's blockbuster event in the virtual money market - Bitcoin "Halving" has attracted much attention, because it will be directly related to the supply and demand of Bitcoin. Bitcoin "Halving" events, which refer to the Halving of rewards earned after producing new blocks, occur approximately every four years. The exact timing depends on the Bitcoin network's Block generation rate, which will reduce the supply of Bitcoin. Block Reward Halving, it means that it takes longer for all Bitcoin to enter circulation.
For the upcoming "Halving", Kevin, founder of Web3 CD and CEO of Full Speed Innovation Capital, pointed out in an interview with the reporter of "Daily Economic News" that "the difference between this round of Bitcoin market and the previous one is that the previous Crypto Assets Bull Market were all after the 'Halving', but this time it was before the Halving, so this round of the market may go out in a different way than the previous ones." However, at least for now, the Crypto Assets market as a whole is still in a relatively disorderly state, and no one can better predict the next trend. ”
Pay attention to two things, one is the high Sideways of Bitcoin, the risk of altcoin falling, and the other is that it may be Favourable Information before and after the production cut, after long-term digestion, the Favourable Information landing near the deadline, and the risk of whipsawing.
Production reduction is a point in time, after the production reduction, the decline in production will promote the Bitcoin pump, which can be realized before or after the production reduction. However, judging from the trend of this bull market, before the production cut, Bitcoin was pushed to a record high due to the support of ETFs and interest rate cut expectations.
BTC Sideways, altcoin yin fall, coupled with the recent big dump, in addition to making a large number of people Get Liquidated, Spot Full Position, there will definitely be a lot of psychological pressure.
In the middle of the Bull Market, although we all know that there will be more explosions in the future, it is difficult to remain indifferent if profits retrace to the point of April 13. Therefore, at any time, we must invest within a reasonable range, and if we exceed our ability, we will be scared to cut loss in the big dump. A reasonable range of Positions, and at the same time, this part of the Position should also be set aside to prevent such sharp falls.
The reserved funds can be used to engage in Bi'an mining, and there are some staking activities for large projects, although the profit is not as high as buying coins, but it is very safe, and it can also prevent you from owing and always filling the position. Big money always has to do the best allocation (BTC, Ether, BN Mining), don't ignore the principal risk for short-term violence.
Finally, let's talk about the market in the next two months.
Last year, it was expected that there would be a market a few months before the production cut, and now that the process is complete, there are two things to watch for in the future: interest rate cuts and the dynamics of US stocks. After the interest rate cut, will Lao Mei's money flow to U.S. stocks?
In the past, some people thought that it would, but I think it is less likely, first of all, as long as interest rates are cut, the depreciation of the dollar is almost a foregone conclusion, and secondly, the high level of US stocks itself has a certain risk, and the money that was left in the bank by the old United States at a intrerest rate of 5 points will not take the risk to go to US stocks again. So either go to gold, or go to Japan, or go back to other countries.
If U.S. stocks fall, short-term Unfavourable Information BTC are just short term, and there is still an essential difference between stocks and Blockchain. Lao Mei is free, they will try their best to keep the money in the pool that Lao Mei can control, gold is a go-out, but it is too monotonous, and the US stock market is high.
Personally, I think that after the ETF passes, once the interest rate is cut, it will be more long to come in. Some people will say, "BTC is so high, how can it come in?" In addition to BTC, there are other long small plates to choose from.
Even if this round of SOL is promoted by Lao Mei, from a small pool to a big pool, ONDO also has the shadow of BlackRock behind it, in fact, there are longest. The opportunity is in Lao Mei's circle, the previous SOL chain earth dog, the recent runes, and the new inscription are all hyped by them first, and the future Bull Market need to pay long attention to this circle.
In addition, the price of the BTC is too high, in fact, the BTC is always high for retail investors, but for the dealer (a small group), it is never high, and the group of bigwigs who control 70% of the world's BTC should not be too difficult to fry a small part of the BTC outside to 200,000. It's just that the process should be a bit tortuous.
Here's a predicted timeline:
The rate cut is expected to be in September at the latest, and two or three months before the rate cut, we will see a relatively low position that will continue for some time, giving ETFs time to enter the market again. This time, it may be the last chance to enter the Bull Market in the future, and I don't think the big bulls will start beyond the end of June.
Therefore, buy the dips to control the position and rhythm, buy the dips is not completed at one time, but should be completed over a period of time, and no one can absolutely predict the lowest point of this pullback in the short term.