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The buy/sell ratio of Binance Taker fell below 1.0 as Bitcoin witnessed a new sell-off.
Bitcoin has experienced a notable pullback after recently reaching a record high of over $111,000 last month. Currently priced at $104,115, this cryptocurrency has fallen approximately 5.2% in the past 7 days, marking a decline of about 7% from its peak price. This sudden fall has attracted significant attention from market participants, who closely monitor potential signals that could clarify Bitcoin's next move. A recent analysis from CryptoQuant collaborator Crazzyblockk has shed light on some of the underlying dynamics affecting this price action. The dominance of Binance and its impacts on the market In the report titled "The Difference in Buying/Selling Behavior of Binance Taker Compared to Other CEXs — More Sellers than Buyers on the Main Exchange", the analyst provides insights into the recent trading behavior observed on major cryptocurrency exchanges, with a particular emphasis on Binance. The analysis emphasizes the differences between Binance and other major centralized exchanges (CEX). While a short spike in collective buying activity was recorded across various exchanges, Binance, which accounts for about 60% of global spot Bitcoin trading volume, exhibited a contrasting scenario.
The data shows a significant selling trend, with Binance's Taker Buy/Sell ratio dropping below 1.0. This shows a clear preference among Binance traders to sell rather than buy Bitcoin, in contrast to the net buying behavior observed elsewhere. With Binance's significant market share, this difference is noteworthy. Binance's trading volume and open futures contracts often guide broader market sentiment and price exploration. Historical data supports this correlation as past events when Binance's market behavior differed from other exchanges, such as in February 2024 and August 2023, led to Bitcoin price adjustments of 5% to 10% shortly thereafter. Current market trends of Bitcoin and expectations for the near future Notably, the latest data shows that the Buy/Sell ratio of Binance hovers around 0.98, falling about 12% in the past week and down 25% in the past month. Despite a brief increase in overall buying activity in the market across exchanges, with the overall Buy/Sell ratio peaking at around 1.35, Binance's bearish stance has dampened this bullish signal, causing the broader indicator to quickly turn downward. This scenario indicates an increase in market volatility in the short term. The dominance of Binance's trading behaviors may amplify the impact of this selling pressure through the futures market funding rate, which could strengthen market movements. Ultimately, the analyst at CryptoQuant wrote: Since the largest liquidity group is selling net, today's overall price increase risks turning into a bull trap. Unless Binance's Taker Buy/Sell reverses sharply above 1.05—and maintains there—expect increased volatility and a higher likelihood of a price drop in the short term as the overall sentiment aligns with the cash flow of market leaders.