This morning, Trump dropped a heavy message, claiming that in the next two to three weeks, he may unilaterally set new tariff rates for multiple trading partners. However, the market generally maintains a cautiously optimistic attitude, with most institutions assessing that even if the policy is implemented, the enforcement will not be overly aggressive. Due to the US stock market being closed over the weekend, while the Bitcoin market remains active, the current trading atmosphere on Saturday is relatively calm. However, it is worth noting that from tomorrow evening to Monday daytime will become a key observation period. The weekend market has low liquidity, and a small amount of chips being sold could trigger a significant price drop, while a small amount of funds getting on board could be enough to drive prices up quickly, bringing more uncertainty to the market due to this high fluctuation. Additionally, the downgrade event is expected to have a short-term impact on the US stock market next Monday, and the previously continuous upward trend of the US stock market is likely to be hindered. The unfavourable information brought by the tariff policy, combined with multiple factors such as credit rating downgrades, will continue to disturb market sentiment in the short term. However, looking back at historical experience, the impact of such sudden events often shows a phased characteristic, and as the market gradually digests, the subsequent market trend will still return to the fundamentals-driven operational logic.

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Bitcoin touched the resistance level of 104,500 USD in the early hours, and immediately began a fluctuating downward trend, falling to around 102,500 USD where it found support and rebounded. The current price is maintaining fluctuations around 103,000 USD. From the overall market perspective, it is still in a phase of adjustment. On the daily chart, Bitcoin shows a stable sideways trend, with both bulls and bears continuously battling, and price fluctuations effectively controlled within a predetermined range, indicating a temporary lack of clear directional guidance in the market. In the four-hour chart, Bitcoin's price has clearly weakened, with a noticeable short-term downward trend. However, the support at the 102,500 USD level is strong, and even if it briefly breaks, it is difficult for the price to form a deeper pullback. It is expected that the intra-day market will still operate within this range. Notably, as the fluctuations continue, the Bollinger Bands' mouth is continuously narrowing, gradually compressing the fluctuation range, creating considerable space for short-term operations. The hourly chart shows that Bitcoin previously exhibited a one-sided downward structure, and after rebounding, the price returned to the midline of the Bollinger Bands for adjustment. Currently, the bullish momentum is clearly insufficient, and it will be quite difficult to fully recover previous losses in the short term. It is expected that the price will gradually clarify its subsequent direction only after consolidating in a sideways manner.
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From the Ethereum 4-hour chart trend, after multiple upward tests, the price has faced strong resistance at the upper band and has pulled back. Currently, the key short-term defense level is around the high point of 2720. If the price can effectively break through this level, it is expected to open up upward space; on the contrary, if it continues to be under pressure and cannot break through, it is very likely to continue the wide-range oscillation pattern. The lower support of the oscillation range is around 2400. The market is currently in a back-and-forth tug-of-war state, and this kind of market condition requires a high level of precision in determining entry points, following the principle of "point priority, direction secondary." Observing the moving average indicators, it currently shows a chaotic and diverging state, which further confirms the oscillating nature of the market. It is expected that in the remaining time of this week, it will be difficult for the market to form a one-sided trend. In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a high sell low buy strategy, strictly controlling entry points, with a focus on accurately confirming the boundary of the range and seizing trading opportunities in the oscillating market.