At present, the market is in a highly sensitive period of "black swan", and it is necessary to focus on the Federal Reserve's speech, geopolitical conflicts and meme coin scams in June.
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting, and next week (in early June), Fed Chairman Powell and several officials will give speeches. If they release "hawkish" interest rate signals or warnings of an economic recession, it could strengthen the dollar and suppress risk assets, causing Bitcoin to quickly fall below the support level of $96,000.
If the SEC suddenly launches a securities violation investigation against mainstream exchanges, it will trigger panic selling in the market, especially affecting platform coins and altcoins. China's policies are inconsistent. If China reiterates its ban on Crypto Assets or strengthens mining controls, it may replicate the "mining disaster" market of 2021, leading to a collapse in computing power and a flash crash in coin prices. Geopolitical conflicts are escalating (need to be monitored continuously). The tension in the Middle East has increased, and the Trump administration recently delivered heavy bombs to Israel. The rise in geopolitical risks may drive funds away from Crypto Assets towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold, and Bitcoin may thus drop to $96,000. The US-China trade friction, a new round of tariffs or technology sanctions may impact the global supply chain, triggering a resonant decline in risk assets.
ARGENTINE PRESIDENT MILLAY'S SISTER WAS REVEALED TO HAVE ACCEPTED A BRIBE OF $5 MILLION TO PROMOTE LIBRA COIN, AND THE TEAM WITHDREW $87 MILLION TO CAUSE THE PRICE OF THE CURRENCY TO COLLAPSE BY 70%, IF THE JUDICIAL INVESTIGATION IS EXPANDED TO TRUMP-RELATED TOKENS (SUCH AS TRUMP, MELANIA), IT MAY IMPLICATE WHITE HOUSE DIGNITARIES AND CAUSE A REGULATORY EARTHQUAKE. The Solana ecosystem Kelsier team has been accused of harvesting more than $200 million through insider trading, front-running sniping (such as MELANIA's profit of $2.4 million), and if new projects (such as the rumored Nigerian presidential coin) run away, it will hit market confidence hard.
The U.S. economy is in recession, JPMorgan Chase warns that there may be a recession in 2025, and if the wave of corporate bond defaults erupts, cryptocurrencies will bear the brunt as a high-risk asset. The risk that Trump's policy will fall short, the market has priced in its pro-crypto commitments (such as adding XRP and ADA to the reserves), and if the policy is slow or reversed, it will trigger a leveraged long stampede.
The essence of the market is a breeding ground for "black swans", the only constant is the unexpected itself. Maintaining a clear mind amidst the leverage frenzy is the key to navigating through bull and bear markets.
The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
At present, the market is in a highly sensitive period of "black swan", and it is necessary to focus on the Federal Reserve's speech, geopolitical conflicts and meme coin scams in June.
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting, and next week (in early June), Fed Chairman Powell and several officials will give speeches. If they release "hawkish" interest rate signals or warnings of an economic recession, it could strengthen the dollar and suppress risk assets, causing Bitcoin to quickly fall below the support level of $96,000.
If the SEC suddenly launches a securities violation investigation against mainstream exchanges, it will trigger panic selling in the market, especially affecting platform coins and altcoins.
China's policies are inconsistent. If China reiterates its ban on Crypto Assets or strengthens mining controls, it may replicate the "mining disaster" market of 2021, leading to a collapse in computing power and a flash crash in coin prices.
Geopolitical conflicts are escalating (need to be monitored continuously). The tension in the Middle East has increased, and the Trump administration recently delivered heavy bombs to Israel. The rise in geopolitical risks may drive funds away from Crypto Assets towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold, and Bitcoin may thus drop to $96,000.
The US-China trade friction, a new round of tariffs or technology sanctions may impact the global supply chain, triggering a resonant decline in risk assets.
ARGENTINE PRESIDENT MILLAY'S SISTER WAS REVEALED TO HAVE ACCEPTED A BRIBE OF $5 MILLION TO PROMOTE LIBRA COIN, AND THE TEAM WITHDREW $87 MILLION TO CAUSE THE PRICE OF THE CURRENCY TO COLLAPSE BY 70%, IF THE JUDICIAL INVESTIGATION IS EXPANDED TO TRUMP-RELATED TOKENS (SUCH AS TRUMP, MELANIA), IT MAY IMPLICATE WHITE HOUSE DIGNITARIES AND CAUSE A REGULATORY EARTHQUAKE. The Solana ecosystem Kelsier team has been accused of harvesting more than $200 million through insider trading, front-running sniping (such as MELANIA's profit of $2.4 million), and if new projects (such as the rumored Nigerian presidential coin) run away, it will hit market confidence hard.
The U.S. economy is in recession, JPMorgan Chase warns that there may be a recession in 2025, and if the wave of corporate bond defaults erupts, cryptocurrencies will bear the brunt as a high-risk asset. The risk that Trump's policy will fall short, the market has priced in its pro-crypto commitments (such as adding XRP and ADA to the reserves), and if the policy is slow or reversed, it will trigger a leveraged long stampede.
The essence of the market is a breeding ground for "black swans", the only constant is the unexpected itself. Maintaining a clear mind amidst the leverage frenzy is the key to navigating through bull and bear markets.