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Bitcoin Headed for One of the Largest Options Expiries of the Year


🧠 What’s happening?
A huge batch of Bitcoin options—worth about $15 billion—is set to expire this Friday. These options are part of a total of roughly $40 billion in open options positions on the Deribit exchange.
What are options?
Options are contracts that let someone buy (calls) or sell (puts) Bitcoin at a set price before a certain date.
When these contracts expire, they either become worthless or are exercised if the price moves far enough in one direction.
Why it matters:
“Max pain” level is a key concept: it’s the price at which the greatest number of options expire worthless. For this expiry, that's around $102,000.
Right now, Bitcoin is trading near $107,600, slightly above the max pain point
Key trends and what they suggest:
Put-to-call ratio ~0.73: Shows slightly more bearish than bullish bets, but the overall tone is neutral to slightly negative.
Implied volatility (IV) is at its lowest since October 2023 (~38%), indicating traders don't expect big price swings before expiry.
Volume up: Bitcoin options trading has increased by ~25% in Q2 versus last year—suggesting growing institutional interest.
What could happen next?
If Bitcoin drifts toward $102,000, many options will expire worthless—that’s favorable for big players managing risk.
With low volatility, sharp mid-week moves are less likely.
After expiry, fresh momentum is possible—especially if ETF inflows remain strong or if Bitcoin retests key levels like $110,000.
▶️ Bottom line:
This expiry represents a massive moment for Bitcoin derivatives, but the calm market and low volatility suggest any price action will likely be modest—unless something suddenly breaks the calm, like major ETF flows or a global event.
#Crypto Stocks Surge in Hong Kong# #BTC#
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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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GateUser-4350794cvip
· 06-27 00:25
Can we go long on BTC now?
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