Shiba Inu (SHIB) on-chain accumulation signal! Analysts are bullish against the market with a 125% increase to $0.000028 | SHIB price prediction

Despite the continuous decline of Shiba Inu (SHIB) over the past 8 months, with a 16% drop in the last 30 days, on-chain data reveals a key turning point: the market capitalization pulse indicator has turned positive, with buying volume exceeding selling volume for two consecutive days, and the proportion of long positions in futures has risen to 53%. Analyst Joao Wedson points out that if demand recovers, SHIB may initiate a 125% rebound targeting the $0.000028 mark. This article combines on-chain indicators and derivation data to provide an in-depth analysis of the Bull vs Bear Battle surrounding SHIB.

The downward trend continues: SHIB monthly plunge of 16% falls into a slump.

Since reaching a high of $0.0000334 eight months ago, SHIB has continued to weaken. As of the time of writing, the price is $0.0000125. Although it has increased by 1.61% within the day, it has fallen by 8.09% on a weekly basis and has seen a significant decline of 16% on a monthly basis. This downward trend reflects a general wait-and-see sentiment among investors, with most holders in an unrealized loss state, exacerbating market hesitation.

on-chain turning point: achieving market capitalization pulse indicator to release accumulation signals

(Source: Alphractal)

Analyst Joao Wedson (founder of Alphractal) pointed out that SHIB on-chain data shows key positive changes: the Realized Cap Impulse indicator has turned from negative to positive, indicating that fresh capital is starting to flow into the market. From August 20 to 21, Coinlyze data showed that the SHIB buying volume reached $1.2 trillion, surpassing the selling volume of $1.1 trillion, with a positive capital delta for two consecutive days, suggesting that an accumulation phase may be starting.

(Source: Coinalyze)

Target estimation: Demand recovery may trigger a 125% Rebound

According to Alphractal's Alpha Price model prediction, if market demand significantly recovers, SHIB is expected to achieve a 125% increase from its current price, with a target price of $0.000028. Historical data shows that an increase in demand usually precedes a price rise, but the current psychological state of investors holding losses remains the main resistance to a short-term rebound.

(Source: Alphractal)

Derivation heating up: Futures long positions account for 53% dominating the market.

With the return of buying pressure in the spot market, the sentiment in derivatives has also warmed up. The funding rate for SHIB has turned positive, ending a three-day streak of negative rates, indicating an increase in capital inflow into the futures market. The long/short ratio has surged to 1.169, with long positions accounting for 53% (shorts at 46%), reflecting that traders are actively betting on a price rebound.

(Source: Alphractal)

Technical contradictions: Short-term indicators still appear weak

(Source: TradingView)

AMBCrypto analysis pointed out that SHIB's short-term technical indicators remain pessimistic: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to the bearish range of 44, and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) has dropped from 26 to 16, confirming that bearish momentum is dominant. If buying interest continues to be absent, the coin price may test the support level of $0.0000115; however, if speculative funds return, there may be a short-term rebound testing the resistance level of $0.000015. Analysts emphasize that a 125% surge requires long-term fundamental support, and the probability of achieving this in the short term is low.

Conclusion

SHIB is currently at a critical stage in the Bull vs Bear Battle: on-chain accumulation signals and futures long positions suggest potential reversal momentum, but weak technical indicators and the loss psychology of holders limit short-term rebound space. Investors need to closely monitor the continuity of market capitalization pulse indicators and changes in futures long vs short ratios. If the overall market risk sentiment improves alongside continuous inflow of on-chain funds, SHIB is expected to initiate a phase of corrective market. In the medium to long term, attention should still be paid to ecological development and the overall market heat of Meme coins.